Chris
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fastmov4.gilbertsweb |
Big 3 Bailout? |
Lead | |
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I wanted to pick some Auburn fans' brains about the proposed bailout of the Big 3 automakers. What are your thoughts? For? Against? I'll reserve my
comments for a little later...
Chris |
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wcvet |
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I agree that the big three going under would have a bad effect on our economy but I am tired of bailing these corporations out. the government creates an
environment where they cant operate profitably but then makes it where the taxpayer has to bail them out to keep them from failing. Some of this is corporation
fault and a lot of it is union fault as you cant pay people $30/hour to not be productive. the big 3 area good example of what unions lead to. I prefer some
plan that has some government assistance but more of a help out than a hand out.
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CharlesUFarley |
We already have a bailout system | ||
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We already have a bailout system, it is called bankruptcy. This is how it works: GM petitions the court for bandruptcy protection. The court grants
temporary protection to GM from creditors, then decides which of GM's creditors have the most claim to any GM assetts. Since the only way GM can pay their
creditors is if they make money, most of GM's creditors have a big interest in keeping GM producing. So, the bankruptcy court usually decides what GM can
spend money on and what they can't to keep them operating while the bankruptcy proceeds. The end result is typically that the court bundles the profitable
businesses of GM and sells them to someone who wants them, then uses the proceeds to pay off as many creditors as possible. The unprofitable businesses of GM
would then be sold essentially for salvage value.
What this amounts to is that the bankruptcy court finds someone with money who wants GM, then that someone buys GM, and the court tries to pay off as many of GM's claimants and creditors as possible. General Motors, in this scenario, continues as GM. It's assumable that a new owner would stick with the recognized brand name and large chunks of the product line. However, in this scenario, all contracts with the old GM are null and void, including labor contracts. The new GM starts over. What GM wants to do is to get the money from the government to keep this from happening. In the bankruptcy scenario, the existing GM management and stockholders (I own some stock by the way, and I'll lose it) lose all ownership, and the new stockholders/investors/owners assume all the business risk. Under a bailout, the taxpayers assume business risk. The way I see it is a bailout is a way of getting money injected into a productive but not profitable business, bankruptcy can also serve this function. In the bankruptcy scenario, the new investors/owners put thier money into the company and assume the risk but aslo get any potential reward. In the bailout scenario, the taxpayers put their money into the company, assume all the risk, but do you think they will be the benficiaries of any reward from their investment? One argument used against bankruptcy is that no one will buy cars from a bankrupt company. The simple solution to this is for GM to buy third party warrantees, something within the power of the courts to mandate as part of the restructuring. The cry for a bailout is rooted in executives who don't want to lose their cushy positions and union who know that all of their contracts are unsustainable and will be voided under bankruptcy law. GM and the others need to file for bankruptcy, the businesses need to be sold off to new investors that will provide the capital to move to more favorable labor markets, and to restructure the businesses. |
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wcvet |
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that sounds good and the only problem I have with bankruptcy is that somewhere somebody will not get paid a debt that is owed them and I know because it has
happened to me many times before. I think bankruptcy ( personal) is one of the most overused and punitive measures for business in our society. whatever
happens the taxpayer will bear the brunt of it and some folks will get off without paying their bills
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BizEagle |
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Yeah but what happens to people who are retired and depend on GMAC bonds for retirement income? Do their bonds expire worthless and they start having to eat
out of Meow Mix bags? What is GM's pension structure? How much has labor legislation forced these labor contracts down Chrysler's throats? This is a
really complex issue and I am very concerned that the US Congress does not have the brain power to comprehend the whole thing. I watched Barney Frank and Nancy
Pelosi on TV talking about it and I am sure they don't have a clue. The Big 3 business model definitely has to change going forward.
Anyone notice that gigantic KIA plant that is almost finished near the Georgia/Alabama state line on I-85? Apparently KIA has a sustainable business model but KIA definitely does not make better cars than Ford, probably not as good. The people I know who have purchased Ford's smaller SUVs over the past couple of years are very happy with their choice. |
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BizEagle |
Did we ever "blow it" by not chosing this guy for President | ||
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Link-Fixing the US Auto Makers
A man for the times but we wanted a rock star instead, a tragic missed opportunity. |
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fastmov4.gilbertsweb |
Great article | ||
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Just one of the reasons I voted for Mitt in the primaries...
IMO, the UAW needs to be disbanded. I feel like the time of the big labor union is long gone. And the only way that can realistically happen is under bankruptcy res-structuring. I have a core passion for cars, and like Mitt, I love American cars. But the Big 3 have basically been thumbing their noses at foreign automakers and continuing on their merry way, while their market share has gotten smaller and smaller. Well, time just ran out. No more paying line workers $70-80K/year for work that is only valued at maybe half that. No more pensions - provide stock options and a matching 401K for employee retirement. Healthcare after employment can be handled by third-party providers and paid for by the individual. It's going to be hard breaking the self-entitlement hold on those autoworkers, and I really feel for them. I mean, they started the job with a set of expectations for supporting their families now and in the future, and because of greedy union management and inept corporate management, they are going to be left holding the short end of the stick. But they will all have to ask themselves a question: would I rather stay in this job for maybe 6 more months and have the company go under, leaving me out of work? or would I rather take a pay and benefits reduction, keep my job, and have some certainty for the immediate future? Of course, there's also the third question: would I mind moving and starting work at the new Kia plant in West Point, GA, or the up-and-coming VW plant in Chattanooga, TN? So stay strong, Bush administration and Congressional Republicans. The worst thing we could do for the industry and the country is to bail out another arrogant and incompetent corporate mentality. Chris |
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PalmettoTiger |
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Chapter 13 and be done with it. Herein lies, though, the crux of the problem:
Foreign-owned manufacturers who build cars with American workers pay wages similar to GM's. But their expenses for benefits are a fraction of GM's. GM is contractually required to support thousands of workers in the UAW's "Jobs Bank" program, which guarantees nearly full wages and benefits for workers who lose their jobs due to automation or plant closure. It supports more retirees than current workers. It owns or leases enormous amounts of property for facilities it's not using and probably will never use again, and is obliged to support revenue bonds for municipalities that issued them to build these facilities. It has other contractual obligations such as health coverage for union retirees. All of these commitments drain its cash every month. Moreover, GM supports myriad suppliers and supports a huge infrastructure of firms and localities that depend on it. Many of them have contractual claims; they all have moral claims. They all want GM to be more or less what it is. Before 'Patch loses his noggin about taking shots at the union, they are only part of the overall problem. PT |
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CharlesUFarley |
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Yeah but what happens to people who are retired and depend on GMAC bonds for retirement income? Do their bonds expire worthless and they start having to eat out of Meow Mix bags? Yes. Their bonds expire worthless, but they only have to eat Meow Mix if GM bonds were their only source of retirement income, then, they'd probably still be eligible for both foodstamps and welfare. What is GM's pension structure? Whatever it is, it is garunteed by the Pension Benefit Garuntee Corporation, which is a government supported entity similar to Freddy Mac. It insures pensions. GM pensioners will get some percentage of promised benefits, usually about 60%. That's yet another reason to stick with a 401K. Do you want to be at the mercy of some Fannie or Freddie type company? This is a really complex issue and I am very concerned that the US Congress does not have the brain power to comprehend the whole thing. I watched Barney Frank and Nancy Pelosi on TV talking about it and I am sure they don't have a clue. Bankruptcies happen every day. It's not that complicated. The only reason Nancy and Barney are fighting to get some government intervention is to try to save the UAW contracts, because they will be voided as part of any bankruptcy. The Big 3 business model definitely has to change going forward.Understand, the Auto industry is already one of the most heavily government regulated industries in the US. The government is all over the automobile, mandating all kinds of design, emmission, and even performance characteristics, and even in the labor market, and they change those regs like they change clothes. The current state of the US Auto industry is the result of 40 years of progressively increasing massive government involvement in the industry. No, the government isn't soley responsible for the Auto MFR's current state, but its hand is all over it. If the government could make it better, then our autos should be the best in the world. |
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theplainstruth |
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Well stated Charles. Until U.S. automakers more closely follow the Japanese model for the industry, there really isn't much hope for them. The Honda plant
in Lincoln is actually adding to it's capabilities, while the big 3 continue to sink. If the Honda plant ever voted to unionize, Honda would just close the
plant.
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PalmettoTiger |
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Between the Employee Free Choice Act and California Air Resources Board Chairman Mary Nichols going to head EPA that may well help to make it happen, TPT. You
have to admit, however, there is a certain whimsical charm in bailing out the big three on one hand and strangling the life out of them on the other.
PT |
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theplainstruth |
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Very true PT, it is like watching a trainwreck. You want to look away, but you just can't. With Obama in office, there'll be a bailout that is very
union friendly. Leaving us to do it again before it's over with. I'm just pissed that I won't get a new car or truck out of the deal. Can't
they help a brotha out?
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tomcat2274 |
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Check out this link...pretty well covers the downside http://www.autoextremist.com/current/?currentPage=2
Remember that all of this interconnected. The big 3 have a number of fuel efficient vehicles in available. If they can make it to 2010 the pipeline has a number of neat new offerings. If any or all of them go down it could set off a domino effect for suppliers. That could be a real problem for imported brands building in the US. Remember too that a $30,000 Ford will sell for a great deal more in Japan because of their tariffs. Congress should level that playing field. Fair trade is fine...free trade...not so much |
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Ausome11 |
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Let them fail, if for no other reason other than it makes my prospects for the necessity of a new car that much more favorable.
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wcvet |
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There is already a domino effect going on that has nothing to do with the big 3. I know of lots of paper/timber forest products that are going down around
here. The south would probably benefit from the automakers demise as most of the foreign investment in autos is in the south. I loved Romney's article and
PT's point that the government will bail them out on one hand and strangle them on the other are very telling. Government cannot fix this problem but they
can help. the question is what is the best way to help? The unions need to go down and some of the government regulations need to go down and the fat cat
mentality at the corporations needs to go down. A bailout will insure the continued survival of all three.
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PalmettoTiger |
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Oh Sweet Merciful Allah (HPBUY) don't mention wood products. When Sen. Wyden (D-OR) had that amendment to the Lacey Act put into the Farm
Bill, it set the stage for a massive freaking headache here in about 3 weeks.
Between that and *&^%#$# whale regs, I'm pretty much convinced that not even a retarded marmoset is that dumb. Keelhauled, the lot of 'em. PT |
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wcvet |
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yOu will have to educate me PT on why the headache is 3 weeks away. it is real big headache here right now. In a county of 17K people we have had a 1K jobs
leave in the last month from our county or adjoining ones in the paper/forest products industry. that hurts and I have timber i am trying to sell and I dont
know if I can get it sold now. SO the effects of that will be far reaching. Not as far as the if the big 3 go down but pretty widespread.
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PalmettoTiger |
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Vet,
On 15 December a new law goes into effect requiring importers to list at entry the scientific name and species of any wood-related and plant product, the quantity and value of the merchandise and the country from where the wood was harvested. It'll cover about 75% of all products in the harmonized tariff classification system. In hard numbers that is 8,000 lines of products daily or, individual products, waaay more than that. National Retail Federation estimates that it could potentially be millions of products because anything with a hangtag or sticker, processed foods with gum Arabic, shampoo or lipstick with some kind of resin, pharmaceuticals, apparel, toys, the list goes on and on. Also, while CBP collects the data, USDA will analyze it to produce the required report to Congress every two years. The problem is that CBP is largely an electronic environment and USDA still uses paper so no more paper releases of cargo which drives up time and costs, particularly time. The reason that Wyden put it in there was two-fold. It was intended to combat the practice of illegal logging of protected trees in environmentally sensitive areas by expanding the provisions of the lacey Act which, until now, regulates trade in fish, wild life and a limited subset of plants to prohibit the import, sale, trade or transportation of illegally harvest wood ro wood products, especially from areas such as the Amazon, Congo Basin and Siberia. SIBERIA? WTF?? Anywho, companies that do not know the specific genus, species and country of origin of the wood component are supposed to write down all possible candidates. That, ummm, covers more than 1,000 genus and species. Also Wyden wanted to level the playing field for domestic guys who compete against illegally harvested wood. Civil and criminal penalties are $10K and $20K respectively for non-complicance. In trying to do a good thing, protect environmentally sensistive areas and help domestic industry, they instead created an administrative nightmare for both shippers and regulators. Lot of work underway to try and phase the requirements in or get enough of a delay that they can be modified. Stuff like this is why folks keep people around to stay up on the political process and to make sure their voice is heard. PT |
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wcvet |
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trying to do a good thing, protect environmentally sensistive areas and help domestic industry, they instead created an administrative nightmare for both
shippers and regulators. Lot of work underway to try and phase the requirements in or get enough of a delay that they can be modified
========= this is the story of our government as they halfway think through any action they take and give little though for the consequences of their action. somewhere somehow some way all this regulation has a cost that must be paid. It seems it would be simpler and more efficient ( two words never mentioned in a government document) to just ban the countries where the illegal logging exists from importing raw timber products. A simple workable solution that would encourage the other country to be the policeman and not us. |
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